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PSB HOLDINGS INC /WI/ (PSBQ)·Q3 2014 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2014 delivered record diluted EPS of $1.08 and net income of $1.78M, with tax-adjusted net interest margin expanding sequentially to 3.43% from 3.34% and net interest income rising to $5.73M, as high-cost FHLB advances matured and were refinanced at lower rates .
  • Pro-forma comparisons show Q3 2014 EPS of $1.08 was in line with Q3 2013 pro-forma EPS of $1.07, reflecting stable core profitability once special items are adjusted out .
  • Asset quality improved quarter-over-quarter (nonperforming assets down 4.3% to $11.65M), though NPA remained higher than year-end on two credits added in 2014; credit costs stayed contained and are expected to remain similar in Q4 .
  • Outlook: management guided to similar net interest income in Q4 with stable loans and seasonal deposit inflows; another $18.3M of high-cost wholesale funding will mature and be repaid/refinanced, supporting margins. Mortgage banking remains structurally lower in 2014 vs 2013, and new regulatory capital rules from Jan 1, 2015 will modestly pressure ratios but not strategic flexibility .
  • Stock reaction catalysts: record EPS ex-specials, sequential NIM improvement on funding repricing, contained credit costs, and active buybacks; headwinds include subdued loan demand and persistently weaker mortgage banking revenue .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record EPS per share when non-recurring items are excluded historically; CEO: “September 2014 quarterly earnings of $1.08 per share were record earnings per share compared to prior quarterly results when non-recurring income or expense items in those periods are excluded.” .
  • Net interest margin expanded to 3.43% and net interest income increased, driven primarily by maturities/refinance of high-cost FHLB advances; reduced FHLB interest expense contributed to 69% of quarterly net interest income increase YoY .
  • Asset quality improved sequentially: nonperforming assets fell $523K QoQ; allowance coverage remained adequate and credit costs were a key sustainer of income in 2014 .

What Went Wrong

  • Noninterest expenses rose YoY, with increases tied to the Northwoods branch integration, higher data processing fees, FDIC premiums, and audit/exam charges; efficiency ratio remained elevated vs prior year .
  • Mortgage banking revenue remained subdued due to lower refinance activity; 2014 mortgage banking expected to be 25–30% below 2013, weighing on noninterest income .
  • Nonperforming assets were higher vs year-end on newly identified problem credits; potential future uptick from a municipal tax financing district loan upon restructuring was noted .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2013Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014
Net Income ($USD Millions)$0.013 $1.450 $1.403 $1.782
Diluted EPS (Reported)$0.01 $0.87 $0.85 $1.08
EPS (Pro-forma)$1.07 $0.92 $0.93 $1.08
Net Interest Income ($USD Millions)$5.422 $5.174 $5.450 $5.734
Interest & Dividend Income ($USD Millions)$6.772 $6.405 $6.618 $6.833
Noninterest Income ($USD Millions)$1.411 $1.320 $1.369 $1.481
Margins & ReturnsQ3 2013Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014
Net Interest Margin %3.40% 3.31% 3.34% 3.43%
Rate Spread %3.23% 3.15% 3.19% 3.28%
Efficiency Ratio %53.94% 63.75% 66.19% 59.61%
ROA %0.01% 0.84% 0.79% 0.97%
ROE %0.09% 10.19% 9.47% 11.77%
Asset Quality & KPIsQ3 2013Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014
Total Nonperforming Assets ($USD Millions)$10.285 $10.323 $12.172 $11.649
Nonperforming Loans / Gross Loans %1.66% 1.75% 2.06% 1.84%
Net Loan Charge-offs to Avg Loans (Annualized) %2.97% 0.03% 0.07% 0.48%
Allowance for Loan Losses / Gross Loans %1.36% 1.39% 1.31% 1.19%
Average Loans ($USD Millions)$510.937 $498.957 $513.163 $528.420
Average Deposits ($USD Millions)$537.836 $567.500 $592.377 $598.845
Average Total Assets ($USD Millions)$695.344 $698.127 $716.152 $727.738

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (as of Q2 2014)Current Guidance (as of Q3 2014)Change
Loans ReceivableQ4 2014Expected to increase modestly (residential retained + commercial growth in Q3 outlook) Expected to remain stable due to low borrower demand Lowered
DepositsQ4 2014Mixed funding: new wholesale, CDs, and cash to fund loan growth (Q3 outlook) Seasonal government tax deposits expected to significantly increase total deposits Raised
Net Interest IncomeQ4 2014NII expected to increase next quarter on stable margin and average loan growth December Q4 NII expected to remain similar to Q3 given lack of significant loan growth Lowered
Net Interest Margin2H 2014Margin likely under pressure; CD/FHLB costs to decline; margin similar to 1H 2014 Sustained higher margin aided by $18.3M of high-cost wholesale funding maturing and refinanced at lower rates Slightly Improved
Mortgage Banking RevenueFY 2014Expected to decline 25–30% vs 2013 Continued lower activity; FY 2014 down 25–30% vs 2013 remains the outlook Maintained
Credit CostsQ4 2014Reduced credit costs sustaining income YTD Credit costs expected to remain similar to Q3 Maintained
Regulatory Capital RatiosFY 2015New rules effective 1/1/2015; negative impact expected but no equity issuance planned Negative impact reiterated; no new equity solely to meet requirements; operations/growth not significantly impacted Maintained
Share Repurchases2H 2014Announced quarterly buyback up to 10,000 shares in Q3 Repurchased 10,000 shares at $33.23; plan continues into Q4 Executed/Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q3 2014 earnings call transcript or other conference transcript was located for PSBQ in the period searched.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3 2014)Trend
Interest Rate/Funding CostsMargin pressure from falling loan yields; CD/FHLB costs to decline; margin similar to 1H 2014 Margin expanded to 3.43% as high-cost FHLB advances matured and were refinanced at lower rates Improving
Loan Growth/DemandQ2: Loans expected to increase modestly next quarter (residential + commercial) Q4 outlook: loans expected to remain stable given low borrower demand Softer
Mortgage BankingQ1/Q2: 2014 mortgage banking down 25–30% vs 2013 on lower refi activity Q3: Mortgage banking remains subdued; 2014 decline reiterated Weaker structurally
Credit Costs/Asset QualityQ1/Q2: Credit costs down sharply YoY; allowance adequate Q3: NPA down QoQ but up vs year-end; credit costs expected similar in Q4 Stable/Cautious
Capital/RegulatoryNew capital rules from 1/1/2015; expect negative ratio impact; no equity issuance Reiterated; no expected impact on recurring operations or growth Maintained
Shareholder ReturnsQ2: declared $0.40 dividend; announced buyback up to 10,000 shares Q3: repurchased 10,000 shares at $33.23; plan continues Active

Management Commentary

  • “The September 2014 quarter was a return to strong income levels as loan growth from the Northwoods branch purchase and increased commercial lines of credit usage increased net interest income. In addition, net interest margin increased as high cost FHLB advances matured and operating expenses returned to normal levels after completing the Northwoods branch purchase conversion.” — Peter W. Knitt, President & CEO .
  • “September 2014 quarterly earnings of $1.08 per share were record earnings per share compared to prior quarterly results when non-recurring income or expense items in those periods are excluded.” — Peter W. Knitt .

Q&A Highlights

No Q3 2014 earnings call transcript found; therefore, Q&A themes, guidance clarifications, and tone shifts cannot be assessed from call content for this period.

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q3 2014 were unavailable via our data connector for PSBQ (CIQ mapping missing). As a result, comparisons to Street EPS/Revenue estimates cannot be made at this time. Values retrieved from S&P Global would normally appear here; consensus was unavailable.
MetricQ3 2014 ConsensusActual Q3 2014Surprise
EPS ($)N/A (S&P Global consensus unavailable)$1.08 N/A
Revenue ($USD Millions; Interest & Dividend Income)N/A (S&P Global consensus unavailable)$6.833 N/A

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core earnings power is intact: pro-forma EPS aligns with prior-year levels, and Q3 shows sequential improvement in margin and net interest income; watch for continued funding cost tailwinds as $18.3M of high-cost wholesale funding rolls in Q4 .
  • Credit costs are contained and expected to remain similar in Q4; sequential NPA improvement is constructive, though 2014 additions keep NPA above year-end—monitor the municipal TIF development loan restructuring risk .
  • Mortgage banking headwinds are structural in 2014; noninterest income resilience will depend on fees and interchange, not secondary market gains .
  • Near-term setup: guidance implies flat loans and similar NII in Q4; sequential margin support from funding repricing could offset muted asset growth—trade the “funding tailwind vs loan demand” narrative .
  • Capital and shareholder returns: buybacks executed and continuing, tangible book up 6.5% YTD; new Basel-related ratios will pressure reported capital metrics but not strategy—supportive for capital return continuity .
  • Medium-term thesis: community banking fundamentals with disciplined credit, improving margin from liability management, and integration of Northwoods assets/deposits; key swing factor remains organic loan demand recovery in footprint .
  • Data gap: Street consensus was unavailable; focus comparisons on sequential and YoY pro-forma performance until consensus visibility improves.

Sources

  • Q3 2014 8-K 2.02 and Exhibit 99.1 press release (October 24, 2014) .
  • Q2 2014 earnings 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 (July 25, 2014) .
  • Q1 2014 earnings 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 (April 28, 2014) .